Bulgie, the people saying AGI (artificial general intelligence) is “right around the corner” are the people asking for money for the research. I think it is much further away than we are led to believe, despite the impressive capabilities we’ve seen. The LLMs (Chat GPT, Gemini, Claude) are really good at showing us and tell us what we want to see and hear but the only way LLMs will destroy the planet is through their astounding consumption of electricity and water and astounding capabilities to spread misinformation. If Altman, et. al. tell us the more likely truth that we are a decade or probably more away from AGI, the fire hose spray of money would dry up to a mere spigot.
Empire of AI by Karen Hao is an informative read about the transformation of AI research and development.
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