Originally Posted by
JustinOldPhart
I don't really get the flashing headlight thing. In two-way traffic, the traffic coming from behind certainly will not see it. Oncoming traffic is separated laterally by a lane of traffic. While they will probably see and notice it, perhaps more so than they would a non-flashing light, to what effect is it in real terms?
Based on the statistics with which I'm most familiar, the #2 and #3 highest motor vehicle crash risks for legally-operating cyclists in urban areas are left turns from oncoming drivers across the rider's path and drivers on side streets and driveways pulling out into the rider's path (#1 is same-direction right turns).
The hypothesis seems to be that the increased conspicuity created by a flashing headlight can reduce these crash risks. And to my knowledge, we have lots of "anecdata" but not much hard data. But the huge reduction in cost in a bright flashing front light since the LED revolution has made many more people willing to see if it helps them.
A cycling industry writer several years ago decried what he described as the "conspicuity arms race" on city streets with varying-brightness motorcycle headlamps, mandated motor vehicle daytime running lights, and bike-mounted flashers. He feared that drivers would either tune it all out or only look for lights, not road users.