True, but it can go both ways. I was here for the Great Ice Storm of '98, and I don't recall hearing him predict that it was going to rain ice for 3 days and knock out power for a week! (I wasn't a cyclist then. However, on the plus side, we lived in the country at the time and had two wood stoves that served us well. It was sort of fun getting up and chopping wood every morning, for the first few days...)