Thanks for the reference genec.

This paper specifically excludes recreational cyclists from its analysis. He seems to be addressing purely transportation in urban/suburban areas. I'm still not seeing the Forrester wants fewer (and only high mileage recreational) cyclists aspect.

Reading this, I only had one big complaint. That is the assumption that the status quo, the current mix of transportation types and users, will remain static forever. If I were a planner, I'd be thinking about the impact that the fight against global warming, and the tipping point of oil availability (limited sources, ever-increaing demand from big populations like India and China) will have on the transportation equation. I agree with his conclusions about current voluntary and involuntary transportational cyclists. The voluntaries do it because they like to, the involuntaries would give it up if they could. Where he goes wrong, I think, is that in the future there may be many many more involuntaries thrown into the mix.