Yep, U23's is a separate race now.
For the win, I don't know. Lapthorne has good form, Gerrans looked good at Willy but was keeping his powder dry IMO. Cooke has good form but I don't think he will get over the climb after 160km. O'Grady is going better than he is making out. Then there's blokes like Menzies, Will Walker and Hilton Clarke.
If I had to pick one rider I'd go with Allan Davis.