Cycling and bicycle discussion forums. 
   Click here to join our community Log in to access your Control Panel  

Go Back   > >

Foo Off-Topic chit chat with no general subject.

User Tag List

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Old 06-07-14, 07:32 AM   #1
"Florida Man"
Thread Starter
chewybrian's Avatar
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: East Florida
Bikes: '16 Bob Jackson rando, '66 Raleigh Superbe, 80 Nishiki Maxima, 07 Gary Fisher Utopia, 09 Surly LHT
Posts: 1,642
Mentioned: 5 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 500 Post(s)
Triple Crown history today?


California Chrome has rolled off several impressive victories in a row, including the Santa Anita Derby, Kentucky Derby and Preakness. If he wins the Belmont today, it's unlikely that it will be racing luck (he'll be near the front), a soft or short field (not today), and certainly not because he is bred for the distance. He can win on heart, which might be enough. I'll give him a coin flip chance, which is high praise against such a test.

When it comes to the betting windows, fuggetaboutit! Take a stand against him or just watch the race. He'll be 2:5ish, and the odds say that's a poor bet (not that you can't win, just that you should not expect to make money in the long run on such propositions).

I still give General A Rod a square chance. He's had much more than his share of bad racing luck, and he can have a say with a clean trip today. Winners in this race often come from just off the pace, which is where he should be. His breeding suggests he can run all day, and when he has been beaten, it has not been because he quit. If California Chrome backs up in the stretch, the General might be right there to reel him in.

A couple others that seem to have a real shot are Commanding Curve, who closed for 2nd in the Derby and skipped the Preakness, and Ride on Curlin, who made a similar close for 2nd in the Preakness.

The real deal is that they all have a chance. My years at the track tell me that anyone can win this race. Recent history had some big long shots winning who perhaps made little sense on paper. The biggest prices come against the heaviest favorites, so don't be shocked at the end if you see a big price in the win column, and perhaps some giant exotic payoffs if California Chrome is out of the money.

If you think you can predict this race with certainty, good luck to you. You can, however, take a reasonable shot in a lot of different directions. Good luck if you bet and enjoy the spectacle either way, especially if we see some history.

The hype is on NBC at 5, and the race goes off about 6:45.
Campione Del Mondo Immaginario
chewybrian is offline   Reply With Quote

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 06:14 PM.

  • Ask a Question
    get answers from real people!
Click to start entering your question.