Predictions for the fall of the Auto Age
#201
Senior Member
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 5,054
Likes: 46
From: Dallas Fort Worth Metroplex
Bikes: 2013 Haro FL Comp 29er MTB.
No Roody, it is simply pointing to the idea that predicting the end of the Auto age is swimming up stream. You indicated a glut of road building and I am simply adding the disinchament the elected officials are showing for an alternative to cars and the building of more roads.
It all comes down to what the majority of voters want or are willing to put up with. To sell transpiration to the masses it has to be easier, spontainious, comfortable, and to a degree cater to individual wants.
Cars or personal transportation works because it gives the individual the freedom to leave the house at 7:41 to make it to the movie the person just learned was playing at 8:15 across town. Does that only happen once in a blue moon? Sure but the nature of our fellow citizens is to think of the possibility they might do just that.
Public transportation can meet some of those needs as can cycling. But one makes you dance to their schedule and the other requires physical effort that the majority has time and time again shown they would rather not do.
I just believe it will be close to impossible to change society to the point where the desire for personal possession is replaced.
It all comes down to what the majority of voters want or are willing to put up with. To sell transpiration to the masses it has to be easier, spontainious, comfortable, and to a degree cater to individual wants.
Cars or personal transportation works because it gives the individual the freedom to leave the house at 7:41 to make it to the movie the person just learned was playing at 8:15 across town. Does that only happen once in a blue moon? Sure but the nature of our fellow citizens is to think of the possibility they might do just that.
Public transportation can meet some of those needs as can cycling. But one makes you dance to their schedule and the other requires physical effort that the majority has time and time again shown they would rather not do.
I just believe it will be close to impossible to change society to the point where the desire for personal possession is replaced.
#202
Senior Member
Joined: Jul 2013
Posts: 4,319
Likes: 15
No... I didn't think so.
There used to be theories (like five decades ago)! You can do this in your very own lab.... no "theory" in that. Of course.... if you don't have a lab... or access to the research papers about current science.... it is probability all way over your head anyway.
So.... I'd suggest you read some of the latest NASA stuff. It is easier to access and richly full of petro fuel discoveries almost everywhere they've pointed a telescope. All with no discovery of life.
The universe is cram-packed, bursting at the seams, FULL of energy. Man... no longer lives in caves and depends on dry logs for fire. We have only recently discovered the vast energy available... even to the Earth-bound. It scares the crap out of the Luddites (invention always has). But it is true... the future is full of boundless energy.
There used to be theories (like five decades ago)! You can do this in your very own lab.... no "theory" in that. Of course.... if you don't have a lab... or access to the research papers about current science.... it is probability all way over your head anyway.
So.... I'd suggest you read some of the latest NASA stuff. It is easier to access and richly full of petro fuel discoveries almost everywhere they've pointed a telescope. All with no discovery of life.
The universe is cram-packed, bursting at the seams, FULL of energy. Man... no longer lives in caves and depends on dry logs for fire. We have only recently discovered the vast energy available... even to the Earth-bound. It scares the crap out of the Luddites (invention always has). But it is true... the future is full of boundless energy.
CO2 build-up is only part of the problem. There's also the heat that builds up from both expended energy and deforested areas and objects/buildings that soak up sunlight and release it as convection currents. Ground water evaporates and the convection currents carry it out over the oceans and other cooler areas, where it rains down because it can't rain down in all the areas that have become such hot, high-pressure zones pushing clouds away and drying them up.
Also, new methods for extracting fossil fuels, such as fracking, have unseen effects on underground geography that could come back to bite us, such as by allowing more and more groundwater to drain deeper into the Earth instead of collecting in potable aquifers. I just watched a documentary on California wells being pumped dry so the ground is drying from both the bottom and top. These drought problems aren't caused exclusively by fossil fuel burning, but they are a big part of the cause in many ways, including releasing heat and CO2 as well as stimulating the clearing of land and development into parking lots and buildings that soak up sunlight and release it as heat while reducing the amount of trees to shade and cool the ground so it won't dry out.
#203
Senior Member
Joined: Jul 2013
Posts: 4,319
Likes: 15
This attitude of "change at the convenience of the masses" will only last as long as the artificial GDP economy is maintained. The moment consumer confidence in government-stimulated GDP falters, the system will crash just like any other market and the private sector won't stick their necks out to boost it. At that point, the masses will be begging for change instead of setting conditions for it to happen.
#204
No Roody, it is simply pointing to the idea that predicting the end of the Auto age is swimming up stream. You indicated a glut of road building and I am simply adding the disinchament the elected officials are showing for an alternative to cars and the building of more roads.
It all comes down to what the majority of voters want or are willing to put up with. To sell transpiration to the masses it has to be easier, spontainious, comfortable, and to a degree cater to individual wants.
Cars or personal transportation works because it gives the individual the freedom to leave the house at 7:41 to make it to the movie the person just learned was playing at 8:15 across town. Does that only happen once in a blue moon? Sure but the nature of our fellow citizens is to think of the possibility they might do just that.
Public transportation can meet some of those needs as can cycling. But one makes you dance to their schedule and the other requires physical effort that the majority has time and time again shown they would rather not do.
I just believe it will be close to impossible to change society to the point where the desire for personal possession is replaced.
It all comes down to what the majority of voters want or are willing to put up with. To sell transpiration to the masses it has to be easier, spontainious, comfortable, and to a degree cater to individual wants.
Cars or personal transportation works because it gives the individual the freedom to leave the house at 7:41 to make it to the movie the person just learned was playing at 8:15 across town. Does that only happen once in a blue moon? Sure but the nature of our fellow citizens is to think of the possibility they might do just that.
Public transportation can meet some of those needs as can cycling. But one makes you dance to their schedule and the other requires physical effort that the majority has time and time again shown they would rather not do.
I just believe it will be close to impossible to change society to the point where the desire for personal possession is replaced.
BTW, it was you who said there is a glut of road building in your area. This is not the case in most areas. (Nor should it be.)
__________________








"Think Outside the Cage"
Last edited by Roody; 06-03-15 at 10:38 AM.
#205
Prefers Cicero

Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 12,860
Likes: 146
From: Toronto
Bikes: 1984 Trek 520; 2007 Bike Friday NWT; misc others
Yes that is true. You should never play with any of that stuff without your parents permission and adult supervision. I don't know who your "we" and "us" are... but I don't worry about that stuff so much. I've been all grown up for decades. Maybe you... just worry too much. Maybe you should just leave this stuff to those that don't think energy "is scary".
The original Luddites were sure that wrecking the weaving equipment (and torching the mills) would end their fear and "bring back" the days of home weaving. Of course they were wrong. Mankind... will never go back. And Luddites, environmentalists, and whatever next new-agers come along... will always be with us. Fearful of the future and decrying science and progress.
The original Luddites were sure that wrecking the weaving equipment (and torching the mills) would end their fear and "bring back" the days of home weaving. Of course they were wrong. Mankind... will never go back. And Luddites, environmentalists, and whatever next new-agers come along... will always be with us. Fearful of the future and decrying science and progress.
And no, the luddites were not against progress any more than I am. I don't share their tactics of sabotage, but I do share a desire to shape my own future, not have it determined by others.
#206
Predictions galore from the Rockefeller Foundation:
The New Commute - The Rockefeller Foundation
The New Commute - The Rockefeller Foundation
__________________








"Think Outside the Cage"
#207
Prefers Cicero

Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 12,860
Likes: 146
From: Toronto
Bikes: 1984 Trek 520; 2007 Bike Friday NWT; misc others
Predictions galore from the Rockefeller Foundation:
The New Commute - The Rockefeller Foundation
The New Commute - The Rockefeller Foundation
#208
Senior Member
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 5,054
Likes: 46
From: Dallas Fort Worth Metroplex
Bikes: 2013 Haro FL Comp 29er MTB.
News flash: they are no longer paying to support the highways either. The feds and most states have drastically cut spending. Haven't you been hearing about "crumbling infrastructure"? You should have noticed that half the links you were posting were for reductions in Highway spending, not transit spending. Look at "Mass. transportation" again. This has nothing to do with mass transit--the state of Mass. is not paying as much for highways! The roads here in Michigan literally are crumbling--bad for cyclists and buses as well as cars. This is true for most states in the Union.
BTW, it was you who said there is a glut of road building in your area. This is not the case in most areas. (Nor should it be.)
BTW, it was you who said there is a glut of road building in your area. This is not the case in most areas. (Nor should it be.)
But as a parting friendly shot I read this today. Relates to alternatives. How Detroit ended up with the worst public transit | Local News | Detroit Metro Times
#209
Senior Member
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 6,119
Likes: 13
From: D'uh... I am a Cutter
Bikes: '17 Access Old Turnpike Gravel bike, '14 Trek 1.1, '13 Cannondale CAAD 10, '98 CAD 2, R300
Fill the forums with meaningless links that no one reads in a silly flame war? NO... not my style. Besides if you had the technical knowledge to understand the science... you already would have read the material. Google does NOT reduce understanding to a single search. Some (many) things require actual knowledge.
You have a belief system/religion already.... and your belief is contrary to facts. It isn't my job to convert you from your beliefs.
You have a belief system/religion already.... and your belief is contrary to facts. It isn't my job to convert you from your beliefs.
#210
Senior Member
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 6,119
Likes: 13
From: D'uh... I am a Cutter
Bikes: '17 Access Old Turnpike Gravel bike, '14 Trek 1.1, '13 Cannondale CAAD 10, '98 CAD 2, R300
But despite your religious belief that oil and coal are somehow the same thing. Specialized DNA testing has proven without any doubt that oil has NO connection to living organisms.
#211
Prefers Cicero

Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 12,860
Likes: 146
From: Toronto
Bikes: 1984 Trek 520; 2007 Bike Friday NWT; misc others
Fill the forums with meaningless links that no one reads in a silly flame war? NO... not my style. Besides if you had the technical knowledge to understand the science... you already would have read the material. Google does NOT reduce understanding to a single search. Some (many) things require actual knowledge.
You have a belief system/religion already.... and your belief is contrary to facts. It isn't my job to convert you from your beliefs.
You have a belief system/religion already.... and your belief is contrary to facts. It isn't my job to convert you from your beliefs.
#212
Senior Member
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 6,119
Likes: 13
From: D'uh... I am a Cutter
Bikes: '17 Access Old Turnpike Gravel bike, '14 Trek 1.1, '13 Cannondale CAAD 10, '98 CAD 2, R300
I am sure there are thousands! If you can't figure out how to use the search function... maybe you could take a library class.
#213
Prefers Cicero

Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 12,860
Likes: 146
From: Toronto
Bikes: 1984 Trek 520; 2007 Bike Friday NWT; misc others
#214
Senior Member

Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 987
Likes: 14
From: Minneapolis, MN
Bikes: 2x Bianchi, 2x Specialized, 3x Schwinns
In fact, they have a name for this super advanced science that we cannot understand, comes up almost immediately in searches. I guess they call it "Pseudoscience".
#215
Senior Member
Joined: Jul 2013
Posts: 4,319
Likes: 15
Likewise, if you consider atmospheric CO2 as 'live' carbon, then coal, oil, and natural gas are sequestered forms of 'live' carbon, or you could call them 'fossilized' carbon. I.e. when something is fossilized, it's buried away from the biosphere where it can't affect living systems. Living systems need some energy to function, but too much energy has destructive effects. Every living system functions well with enough energy and breaks down with too much.
Al also decidedly placed environmentalism under the protection of a religion. So... I assume you are posting in a religious way. I respect your beliefs.
But despite your religious belief that oil and coal are somehow the same thing. Specialized DNA testing has proven without any doubt that oil has NO connection to living organisms.
Something else to consider is that the Earth's core is gradually cooling. When it solidifies, we will no longer have a magnetic field to protect the biosphere from cosmic rays and other harmful radiation. What's more, water will be able to seep down into the core, draining it from the surface. Earth is going to be much less inhabitable as this happens. So the more we drill and mine and allow water to seep deeper and deeper into the crust, the faster core heat is going to dissipate through the water. Fossil fuels kept underground may end up burning under pressure and help keep the core molten. Nature may have a reason for swallowing up biomass and compressing it underground besides to have people dig it up, burn it above ground, and fill the hole left with water.
Last edited by tandempower; 06-03-15 at 09:07 PM.
#216
Prefers Cicero

Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 12,860
Likes: 146
From: Toronto
Bikes: 1984 Trek 520; 2007 Bike Friday NWT; misc others
So the more we drill and mine and allow water to seep deeper and deeper into the crust, the faster core heat is going to dissipate through the water. Fossil fuels kept underground may end up burning under pressure and help keep the core molten. Nature may have a reason for swallowing up biomass and compressing it underground besides to have people dig it up, burn it above ground, and fill the hole left with water.
Our influence on the cooling of the earth's core is negligible - I wouldn't worry about that. We're far more threatened by its heat (think supervolcano eruption) than we are by its cooling.
#217
Senior Member
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 4,398
Likes: 6
From: Seville, Spain
Bikes: Brompton M6R, mountain bikes, Circe Omnis+ tandem
Cooker, Dave's right, this is all way over your head. I've been reading up on it, and despite my background in physics and chemistry, I can't make any sense of it at all.
In fact, they have a name for this super advanced science that we cannot understand, comes up almost immediately in searches. I guess they call it "Pseudoscience".
In fact, they have a name for this super advanced science that we cannot understand, comes up almost immediately in searches. I guess they call it "Pseudoscience".
#218
Senior Member
Joined: Jul 2013
Posts: 4,319
Likes: 15
Mars lacks a molten core and thus magnetic field to protect against harmful radiation. It probably has lots of hollow cavities throughout the solid core where water has seeped down. Can you imagine how much energy would be required to pump water from such cavities to the surface? Why would we want to do that on Earth if we can maintain the current system where the molten core basically self-seals any cracks that form in it, which keeps water on the surface? Is it really worth digging up every possible source of core heat, including fossil fuels and radioactive materials when we have plenty of sunlight and solar heat convection currents (wind) available on the surface?
Humans are smart but egoistic. The moment we understand something, we want to harness it for superficial purposes before understanding how it fits into the bigger picture of nature as a vast interconnected system. We figure out gravity compresses old biomass into fossil fuels and we figure out we can extract and burn these fuels to make our own labor easier and perform some neat tricks with previously unimagined concentrations of energy-expenditure. Then the ego takes over and everyone starts competing to put on the most impressive energy show. It's not sustainable. It's not worth destroying the planet. It's a cop out to say it will take 1000s of years for the destruction to be complete. Slow death by a thousand cuts is no better than a quick demise, and arguable worse.
#219
I prefer the term petroleum instead of fossil fuels. I really really doubt that all of the fuel we're burning came from the decomposition of biomass. It just doesn't make sense to me. Especially how such biomass got to be a thousand or so feet underground. Hydrocarbons seem to be produced by the planet. Maybe biomass can be converted into oil in a natural way. What I don't believe is that most of the petroleum on the planet came from it.
I just wish humanity would use more varied fuels that don't create nasty fumes. Human power for local transportation needs to expand a little more. Instead the bellies of humans are expanding.
I just wish humanity would use more varied fuels that don't create nasty fumes. Human power for local transportation needs to expand a little more. Instead the bellies of humans are expanding.
#220
It's science, people. It has nothing to do with what you "believe". The facts are well established: Petroleum results from hundreds of millions of years of the underground decomposition of single-celled organisms (petroleum) and plants (coal), under conditions of heat and pressure. There is absolutely no scientific or logical doubt about this.
F...A...C...T...S...that's all.
Think! We learned this stuff in seventh grade!
F...A...C...T...S...that's all.
Think! We learned this stuff in seventh grade!
__________________








"Think Outside the Cage"
#221
Senior Member
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 3,782
Likes: 1
From: Atlanta, GA. USA
Bikes: Surly Long Haul Disc Trucker
It's science, people. It has nothing to do with what you "believe". The facts are well established: Petroleum results from hundreds of millions of years of the underground decomposition of single-celled organisms (petroleum) and plants (coal), under conditions of heat and pressure. There is absolutely no scientific or logical doubt about this.
F...A...C...T...S...that's all.
Think! We learned this stuff in seventh grade!
F...A...C...T...S...that's all.
Think! We learned this stuff in seventh grade!
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
mikeybikes
Living Car Free
38
03-02-11 05:33 PM
hshearer
Living Car Free
42
02-01-10 06:29 AM






