Hi-Vis Study Questions Italy's Hi-Vis Law
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Hi-Vis Study Questions Italy's Hi-Vis Law
So many studies out there; there's a study for every one If you like helmets, there's a study for you; if you don't like helmets, there's a study for you...
https://www.bicycling.com/bikes-gear...e3195e9e5e3ecd
https://www.bicycling.com/bikes-gear...e3195e9e5e3ecd
Late last month, the cycling press picked up a story readymade for clicky headlines: A new study out of the University of Bologna apparently showed that an Italian law requiring high-visibility clothing for some cyclists had no effect on crash rates. (“Hi-vis clothing has 'little to no impact' on crashes,” read an early headline on BikeBiz.)
It came on the heels of another study out of the UK last fall, which found that so-called “visibility aids” not only failed to reduce the risk of cycling collisions, but were actually associated with an increased crash risk.
It came on the heels of another study out of the UK last fall, which found that so-called “visibility aids” not only failed to reduce the risk of cycling collisions, but were actually associated with an increased crash risk.
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Highly visible clothing has no visible impact on impacts.
I guess it is harder to hit what you can't see.
is there a study for people who don't like hi-viz helmets?
I guess it is harder to hit what you can't see.
is there a study for people who don't like hi-viz helmets?
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garbage in, garbage out. if one read the full article that is the conclusion.
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Carry an Italian girl on the back and you will be highly visible.
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The notion that safety equipment -- helmets, hi-vis clothing, etc. -- is somehow associated with higher risk is useless without better studies. Some incomplete studies presume that safety equipment somehow tempts cyclists to take greater risks, or that hi-vis clothing and helmets are like waving a red cape in front of a bull.
All of these studies are worse than useless without a reliable baseline. That would begin with mandatory psychological screening of all applicants for driving licenses and renewals of existing licenses.
The primary focus of pre-licensing psych evals would be to identify tendencies toward passive-aggressive behaviors: brush-by passes when there was plenty of room to pass safely, cutting off drivers who signal in plenty of time, speeding up when they see a pedestrian "jaywalking", etc. Similar tests already exist to screen job applicants for warehouse and retail jobs to weed out applicants who are most likely to steal.
The current licensing system is based around a paradigm of presumption that if someone can drive within a minimal standard for technical competency under controlled conditions that they will automatically drive safely under all conditions, particularly conditions beyond their competency level. Clearly this isn't adequate.
Psychological screening would help establish a baseline for evaluating against later moving violations and accidents, and could benefit drivers who test well to lower insurance rates.
Waiting until after an incident/collision to test is too late. Drivers will be constrained by attorneys against answering questions, or coached to respond a certain way that scores well on ethical driving tests. The time to impose more rigorous screening is at the beginning, and whenever licenses are up for renewal to re-evaluate life stresses.
Otherwise it's anyone's guess whether and why hi-vis clothing, reflectors, lights, etc., seem to work or not to work.
All of these studies are worse than useless without a reliable baseline. That would begin with mandatory psychological screening of all applicants for driving licenses and renewals of existing licenses.
The primary focus of pre-licensing psych evals would be to identify tendencies toward passive-aggressive behaviors: brush-by passes when there was plenty of room to pass safely, cutting off drivers who signal in plenty of time, speeding up when they see a pedestrian "jaywalking", etc. Similar tests already exist to screen job applicants for warehouse and retail jobs to weed out applicants who are most likely to steal.
The current licensing system is based around a paradigm of presumption that if someone can drive within a minimal standard for technical competency under controlled conditions that they will automatically drive safely under all conditions, particularly conditions beyond their competency level. Clearly this isn't adequate.
Psychological screening would help establish a baseline for evaluating against later moving violations and accidents, and could benefit drivers who test well to lower insurance rates.
Waiting until after an incident/collision to test is too late. Drivers will be constrained by attorneys against answering questions, or coached to respond a certain way that scores well on ethical driving tests. The time to impose more rigorous screening is at the beginning, and whenever licenses are up for renewal to re-evaluate life stresses.
Otherwise it's anyone's guess whether and why hi-vis clothing, reflectors, lights, etc., seem to work or not to work.
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That post deserves to end the thread ... but there is no "Like" button, and I want very much to say I think that post makes altogether too much sense for this site .... so I have to soil the scene with another post. Sorry.
Get a "Like" button, Mods, and maybe I would post less.
Get a "Like" button, Mods, and maybe I would post less.
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But if you don't like it, what then? This is Arguments & Stuff, after all.
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I think what this article illustrates is how agendas or biases can affect studies, both from the ones involved in the studies (and of course the entities that finance them) and those that consume the data.
P.S. I was kind of surprised at how many studies have been done on this issue of wearing hi-viz clothing.
P.S. I was kind of surprised at how many studies have been done on this issue of wearing hi-viz clothing.
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There are lots of studies about human perception because it keeps surprising us by not working the way we think. "Eye witnesses", the gorilla in the room study, etc. Attaching a public safety issue to a perception study gets funding.
Part of the problem with this kind of study is that not that many cyclists are actually getting hit, and we don't know how many times accidents have been averted by unknown factors. It is all a lot like studying people that get hit by lightning.
Part of the problem with this kind of study is that not that many cyclists are actually getting hit, and we don't know how many times accidents have been averted by unknown factors. It is all a lot like studying people that get hit by lightning.
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The study showed a correlation between color and collisions.
It isn't unreasonable to expect that there is a causal relationship due to visibility.
It's also well-known that driver behavior correlates to collisions. (The study isn't looking at that but isn't denying it either).
Is it reasonable to expect that the choice between white and black cars is significantly correlated with, respectively, good and bad drivers?
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I have a basic assumption: The more visible I am to drivers, the less likely I am to get hit by one
This assumption is confirmed by my personal observation: When I drive I can see cyclists wearing hi-vis, with reflectors and with bright blinking lights much more easily and sooner than those without the visibility aids
Therefore I wear hi-vis mostly, use a lot of lights and have put extra reflective tape on my bikes.
Not scientific, but works for me
I also drive with my lights on all the time, for 40 plus hears of driving, based on a) when i started my dad insisted and b) observation that in all situations cars with lights on are easier for other drivers to see
ymmv
This assumption is confirmed by my personal observation: When I drive I can see cyclists wearing hi-vis, with reflectors and with bright blinking lights much more easily and sooner than those without the visibility aids
Therefore I wear hi-vis mostly, use a lot of lights and have put extra reflective tape on my bikes.
Not scientific, but works for me
I also drive with my lights on all the time, for 40 plus hears of driving, based on a) when i started my dad insisted and b) observation that in all situations cars with lights on are easier for other drivers to see
ymmv
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Not exactly.
The study showed a correlation between color and collisions.
It isn't unreasonable to expect that there is a causal relationship due to visibility.
It's also well-known that driver behavior correlates to collisions. (The study isn't looking at that but isn't denying it either).
Is it reasonable to expect that the choice between white and black cars is significantly correlated with, respectively, good and bad drivers?
The study showed a correlation between color and collisions.
It isn't unreasonable to expect that there is a causal relationship due to visibility.
It's also well-known that driver behavior correlates to collisions. (The study isn't looking at that but isn't denying it either).
Is it reasonable to expect that the choice between white and black cars is significantly correlated with, respectively, good and bad drivers?
It is also reasonable to assume that some colors are easier to see than others.
What is unreasonable is to take a study that doesn't differentiate between the two and presume that the results reflect more one factor or the other.
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Yes, it is reasonable to expect that driver's aggressiveness is displayed not just in their driving style but in the color of car they prefer.
It is also reasonable to assume that some colors are easier to see than others.
What is unreasonable is to take a study that doesn't differentiate between the two and presume that the results reflect more one factor or the other.
It is also reasonable to assume that some colors are easier to see than others.
What is unreasonable is to take a study that doesn't differentiate between the two and presume that the results reflect more one factor or the other.
The article I linked to suggested that their was a correlation between color and "bad" drivers.
Originally Posted by article
They are not exactly daring, but they are easy to keep clean and easy to sell on. Black is also a favourite, particularly among younger drivers.
Perhaps it’s something to do with the image. Black is also a common choice for celebrities and can suggest someone who is cool and rebellious. But black cars are arguably more dangerous.
...
Of course, colour is only one of many crash factors.
The age and experience of the driver, speed of the car, and the vehicle’s safety features are all much more important in determining the likelihood of an accident, not to mention the influence of drink and drugs.
Perhaps it’s something to do with the image. Black is also a common choice for celebrities and can suggest someone who is cool and rebellious. But black cars are arguably more dangerous.
...
Of course, colour is only one of many crash factors.
The age and experience of the driver, speed of the car, and the vehicle’s safety features are all much more important in determining the likelihood of an accident, not to mention the influence of drink and drugs.
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I would be interesting to look at intersection traffic camera tickets for car color, corrected for how common different colors are. That would give an idea about aggressive driving and color without any human input, like whether police like to pull over one color or another.
But overall, the study demonstrates nothing aside from color somehow being predictive of relative collision rates. Outside that it isn't useful, unless people want to point to more bad science to affirm their bias.
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Some things don't need to be studied.
High vis clothing makes me more likely to be seen. That makes me less likely to be run over.
Until someone makes an interesting argument that the high vis clothing attracts cars to me I'm not entertaining the idea that high visibility is a bad idea.
High vis clothing makes me more likely to be seen. That makes me less likely to be run over.
Until someone makes an interesting argument that the high vis clothing attracts cars to me I'm not entertaining the idea that high visibility is a bad idea.
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Some things don't need to be studied.
High vis clothing makes me more likely to be seen. That makes me less likely to be run over.
Until someone makes an interesting argument that the high vis clothing attracts cars to me I'm not entertaining the idea that high visibility is a bad idea.
High vis clothing makes me more likely to be seen. That makes me less likely to be run over.
Until someone makes an interesting argument that the high vis clothing attracts cars to me I'm not entertaining the idea that high visibility is a bad idea.
But that doesn't mean that a vest wouldn't save your life the one time it did alert a driver who would otherwise not have seen you.
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But the study also appears to have some gaps that call its findings into question. While it used 15 years of crash data (2001-2015), the dataset does not include factors like what time the crashes occurred or how many of the given cyclists were actually wearing hi-vis or reflective clothing. The study also did not address usage rates of visibility aids before and after the law passed. Finally, it did not examine whether or not the crashes occurred in urban areas.
Without accounting for these variables, there’s no way to understand whether the crashes happened at the times, and in the geographic areas, covered in the language of the law. In other words, the data does not appear specific enough to support the study’s conclusion.
...
But there’s a big difference between saying that a law mandating visibility aids had no discernible effect, and that the gear itself may be ineffective. On that question we don’t yet have a clear answer—though more than a decade of research suggests it’s more likely than not that visibility aids do help.
Without accounting for these variables, there’s no way to understand whether the crashes happened at the times, and in the geographic areas, covered in the language of the law. In other words, the data does not appear specific enough to support the study’s conclusion.
...
But there’s a big difference between saying that a law mandating visibility aids had no discernible effect, and that the gear itself may be ineffective. On that question we don’t yet have a clear answer—though more than a decade of research suggests it’s more likely than not that visibility aids do help.
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I have a basic assumption: The more visible I am to drivers, the less likely I am to get hit by one
This assumption is confirmed by my personal observation: When I drive I can see cyclists wearing hi-vis, with reflectors and with bright blinking lights much more easily and sooner than those without the visibility aids
Therefore I wear hi-vis mostly, use a lot of lights and have put extra reflective tape on my bikes.
Not scientific, but works for me
I also drive with my lights on all the time, for 40 plus hears of driving, based on a) when i started my dad insisted and b) observation that in all situations cars with lights on are easier for other drivers to see
ymmv
This assumption is confirmed by my personal observation: When I drive I can see cyclists wearing hi-vis, with reflectors and with bright blinking lights much more easily and sooner than those without the visibility aids
Therefore I wear hi-vis mostly, use a lot of lights and have put extra reflective tape on my bikes.
Not scientific, but works for me
I also drive with my lights on all the time, for 40 plus hears of driving, based on a) when i started my dad insisted and b) observation that in all situations cars with lights on are easier for other drivers to see
ymmv
Except honestly....as a car driver I notice lights on a bike LONG before I notice bright colors.
As a driver, bright colors really only come into play at night. Those day glo yellow shirts are easier to see at night in ambient street lighting. In the daytime, lights on a bike do more than a bright shirt will. And the whole bike and rider is so well lit up in the sunlight that I'm not sure high vis clothing helps a lot.
BUT!!!! I doesn't hurt like the 'study' says.
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You've convinced me. From now on I'm painting my bike grey and wearing only asphalt grey clothing while cycling. Also going to take off all reflectors and lights, because obviously they don't prevent accidents.
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That doesn't seem likely.
Last edited by njkayaker; 04-12-18 at 02:44 PM.
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Exactly. We don't know how many near-accidents might have happened but were averted because the cyclists were wearing brightly colored clothing. Nor do we know how many accidents were totally avoided because a motorist saw a cyclist's bright yellow jersey. Just because some cyclists wearing neon colors might have gotten hit doesn't mean that bright colors never alert motorists that a cyclist is on the road. It's impossible to say how many motorists avoid cyclists because they noticed their clothing.
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Today when I was doing my morning ride in the dark (5 AM) I came across a couple women out walking who had lights on their ankles shining forward. It was quite noticeable and I was glad they had those lights because sometimes it's hard to make out pedestrians in all the shadows.
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So much science ... used so badly by so many.