You are right, sarals. It really is a chess game. So many plots and subplots, strategies and bluffs, but then there are the wildcards of weather, crashes and dumb luck thrown in to make the best laid plans often go awry. It is fascinating to look through all of those factors and try to predict what will be the final outcome. It is easy to get caught up in what happens one day or at a particular section of the race and forget about the totality of the race and what factors may change what you think is going to happen. It is fun to make predictions, but the real joy is watching to see how it actually unfolds.