I'm a Purito fan, but...

While he has improved in the TTs, it's still a big weakness for him. He's lucky that the Vuelta only had one ITT and that it had that climb in the middle. While I do expect a more climber-friendly route in the TDF next year, I would still expect one flattish ITT of at least 30km where Purito would lose a lot of time. Just imagine if the Vuelta had one of those in the final week. We'd still be expecting Contador to win.

Not that it matters, really. He seems to like the Ardennes classics and it makes sense to ride those, the Giro, the Vuelta, Lombardia and the Worlds. He has a much better chance of success with that schedule.