Originally Posted by
noglider
[MENTION=200073]acidfast7[/MENTION], I looked back at some randomly sampled posts in this thread, and not surprisingly, I see the cost/mile dropping, since the bike is so new. Mr. Money Mustache claims that the cost of owning a car is $0.50/mile. You're still above that. Any guesses as to how long this bike will last before it gets stolen or totaled or something?
Realistically, in a week or two, I'll be even with the cost of everything versus the bus (£4.50/day). This will occur at about 125 days of commuting.
I would estimate that I'll average 170 days or about 2000 miles/year of commuting with an additional expenditure of about 300 USD/year.
Productions would be:
Year 1: 2000 miles / 1000 USD = 0.50 USD/mi
Year 2: 4000 miles / 1300 USD = 0.32 USD/mi
Year 3: 6000 miles / 1600 USD = 0.26 USD/mi
Year 4: 8000 miles / 1900 USD = 0.23 USD/mi
Year 5: 10000 miles / 2200 USD = 0.22 USD/mi
I think that I'd hit an asymptotic value of roughly 0.20 USD/mi.
But, I will continue and we should have some empirical data!