My neighborhood hardly ever gets plowed so if it’s slick on my street, the studs will be on. It’s not uncommon to have stretches of a few weeks without precipitation. I don’t really want to ride 800-1000g tires 12 miles each way unless I have to. I do have the ability to work from home if roads are really bad. If it’s a typical winter, I should be able to ride street tires 50% of the time. I think studded tires will get me to work 90%+ of the time. That’s my prediction anyway. My boss doesn’t mind swinging past to pick me up if he needs me in the office, he runs morning errands before work within a mile
or two of my house. I consider myself quite lucky regarding my current employment.

38mm tires will NOT fit under fenders on this bike, so the Gravdals are out. Too tight at the
chainstay bridge.

Edit: I don’t want to delude myself about it, so if push comes to shove I’ll leave the studded tires on. I’m sure I’ll appreciate it more when street tires go back on for the first time in however long. I did the commute for a few weeks last winter on knobby 26” tires. It’s doable but I wouldn’t want to do it all the time.