Study Finds Biking to Work HALVES Risk of Early Death
#1
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aka Tom Reingold




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Study Finds Biking to Work HALVES Risk of Early Death
This video refers to a study done several years ago, and I read about it a few years ago. Even a short commute that is not very vigorous has measurable benefits especially if you do it consistently over years.
I have no idea why this likes to show footage of him riding on stairs and other stunts in this context. I never learned stunts, and I'm not about to start learning now.
I have no idea why this likes to show footage of him riding on stairs and other stunts in this context. I never learned stunts, and I'm not about to start learning now.
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Tom Reingold, tom@noglider.com
New York City and High Falls, NY
Blogs: The Experienced Cyclist; noglider's ride blog
“When man invented the bicycle he reached the peak of his attainments.” — Elizabeth West, US author
Please email me rather than PM'ing me. Thanks.
Tom Reingold, tom@noglider.com
New York City and High Falls, NY
Blogs: The Experienced Cyclist; noglider's ride blog
“When man invented the bicycle he reached the peak of his attainments.” — Elizabeth West, US author
Please email me rather than PM'ing me. Thanks.
#3
Disco Infiltrator




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I’ll be sure to tell my cardiomyopathy about this study :-p
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Genesis 49:16-17
"Well, well!" said Holmes, impatiently. "A good cyclist does not need a high road. The moor is intersected with paths and the moon is at the full."
Genesis 49:16-17
"Well, well!" said Holmes, impatiently. "A good cyclist does not need a high road. The moor is intersected with paths and the moon is at the full."
#4
Broken neck Ken


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Got a short little span of attention (call me Al) so I made it through about 90 seconds of the video.
Did he address the notion that correlation is not causation?
Did he address the notion that correlation is not causation?
#5
Thread Starter
aka Tom Reingold




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Bikes: 1962 Rudge Sports, 1971 Raleigh Super Course, 1971 Raleigh Pro Track, 1974 Raleigh International, 1975 Viscount Fixie, 1982 McLean, 1996 Lemond (Ti), 2002 Burley Zydeco tandem
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Tom Reingold, tom@noglider.com
New York City and High Falls, NY
Blogs: The Experienced Cyclist; noglider's ride blog
“When man invented the bicycle he reached the peak of his attainments.” — Elizabeth West, US author
Please email me rather than PM'ing me. Thanks.
Tom Reingold, tom@noglider.com
New York City and High Falls, NY
Blogs: The Experienced Cyclist; noglider's ride blog
“When man invented the bicycle he reached the peak of his attainments.” — Elizabeth West, US author
Please email me rather than PM'ing me. Thanks.
#6
This is a high quality study that does take into accounts covariates like age, sex, pre-existing health condition, socioeconomic factors etc, etc.
One surprising finding is that cycling to work prevents cancer (51% reduction) more strongly than cardiovascular diseases (37% reduction). You would think it's the other way around.

The only downside is that we are hospitalized for traffic accidents at 1.98X the rate of non-cyclists. So be careful out there!
One surprising finding is that cycling to work prevents cancer (51% reduction) more strongly than cardiovascular diseases (37% reduction). You would think it's the other way around.

The only downside is that we are hospitalized for traffic accidents at 1.98X the rate of non-cyclists. So be careful out there!
#7
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This is a high quality study that does take into accounts covariates like age, sex, pre-existing health condition, socioeconomic factors etc, etc.
One surprising finding is that cycling to work prevents cancer (51% reduction) more strongly than cardiovascular diseases (37% reduction). You would think it's the other way around.

The only downside is that we are hospitalized for traffic accidents at 1.98X the rate of non-cyclists. So be careful out there!
One surprising finding is that cycling to work prevents cancer (51% reduction) more strongly than cardiovascular diseases (37% reduction). You would think it's the other way around.

The only downside is that we are hospitalized for traffic accidents at 1.98X the rate of non-cyclists. So be careful out there!
#8
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#9
Look at the cancer mortality. The 3 sigma bar is completely off to the left of the control line. In other words, everyone who cycles to work, will benefit from reduced cancer rates, with no exception. Even in the worst case scenerio, you would still derive a 20% reduction of cancer risk. It cannot get clearer than this. If this was a drug it would be a blockbuster drug.
#11
Commuter, roadie



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As for the stunts, he's primarily a mountain biker; the kind doing jumps and such. I think that, combined with having grown up a hooligan kid on a bike explains it. Spice things up a bit, in other words.
He says something to close all his videos that I think makes a good point; something like: "I hope you found this video informative, and if not, then at least entertaining..." He strives to entertain and inform. More viewers that way, maybe?
He has done a series of videos where he visits different cities to rate them for bike-ability, and part of his format is to do something sketchy in each city. Some jump here and there.
You may see less of it going forward, as he's getting older and it hurts more and longer when he crashes doing sketchy stuff.
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#12
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aka Tom Reingold




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I agree, he does a good job and is informative in most of his videos. I continue to follow him. I posted because I consider this one to be a good video. I was just picking a nit about his style.
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Tom Reingold, tom@noglider.com
New York City and High Falls, NY
Blogs: The Experienced Cyclist; noglider's ride blog
“When man invented the bicycle he reached the peak of his attainments.” — Elizabeth West, US author
Please email me rather than PM'ing me. Thanks.
Tom Reingold, tom@noglider.com
New York City and High Falls, NY
Blogs: The Experienced Cyclist; noglider's ride blog
“When man invented the bicycle he reached the peak of his attainments.” — Elizabeth West, US author
Please email me rather than PM'ing me. Thanks.
#13
Commuter, roadie



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From: SE Wisconsin, USA
Bikes: Trek: Domane AL3, Checkpoint SL7; Priority Apollo 11, ZiZZO Forte + eBikes
Here are two more videos I really enjoyed re. the benefits of bike commuting:
From Shifter, a nice Canadian bike commuter guy from Vancouver:
All of his content is good.
TedX talk: The Amazing Way Bicycles Change You. I found this one REALLY inspiring!
From Shifter, a nice Canadian bike commuter guy from Vancouver:
TedX talk: The Amazing Way Bicycles Change You. I found this one REALLY inspiring!
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#15
Thread Starter
aka Tom Reingold




Joined: Jan 2009
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From: New York, NY, and High Falls, NY, USA
Bikes: 1962 Rudge Sports, 1971 Raleigh Super Course, 1971 Raleigh Pro Track, 1974 Raleigh International, 1975 Viscount Fixie, 1982 McLean, 1996 Lemond (Ti), 2002 Burley Zydeco tandem
Here are two more videos I really enjoyed re. the benefits of bike commuting:
From Shifter, a nice Canadian bike commuter guy from Vancouver: https://youtu.be/Xf0p4tVRkNs?si=DIwl5nCcsalnE2hA
All of his content is good.
TedX talk: The Amazing Way Bicycles Change You. I found this one REALLY inspiring!
https://youtu.be/KTT7i3SKpMQ?si=a-_5bJCgMi153zAO
From Shifter, a nice Canadian bike commuter guy from Vancouver: https://youtu.be/Xf0p4tVRkNs?si=DIwl5nCcsalnE2hA
All of his content is good.
TedX talk: The Amazing Way Bicycles Change You. I found this one REALLY inspiring!
https://youtu.be/KTT7i3SKpMQ?si=a-_5bJCgMi153zAO
I was seriously hit -- HEAD ON! -- by a car while I was bike-commuting. After I recovered, I decided to keep on bike commuting. That was in 1982. I suspect the chance of being hit are lower now than they were then because I'm more aware and use many newly learned crash avoidance techniques. The more experienced you are, the safer you are.
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Tom Reingold, tom@noglider.com
New York City and High Falls, NY
Blogs: The Experienced Cyclist; noglider's ride blog
“When man invented the bicycle he reached the peak of his attainments.” — Elizabeth West, US author
Please email me rather than PM'ing me. Thanks.
Tom Reingold, tom@noglider.com
New York City and High Falls, NY
Blogs: The Experienced Cyclist; noglider's ride blog
“When man invented the bicycle he reached the peak of his attainments.” — Elizabeth West, US author
Please email me rather than PM'ing me. Thanks.
#16
https://bmjpublichealth.bmj.com/content/2/1/e001295
The British Medical Journal is an authoritative medical journal. This is not click-bait fake news.
The study shows the overall 'all cause mortality', which includes the possibility of dying in a traffic accident. Even with that taken into account, there is a 47% reduction in all cause mortality for the cyclists.
The British Medical Journal is an authoritative medical journal. This is not click-bait fake news.
The study shows the overall 'all cause mortality', which includes the possibility of dying in a traffic accident. Even with that taken into account, there is a 47% reduction in all cause mortality for the cyclists.
#17
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https://bmjpublichealth.bmj.com/content/2/1/e001295
The British Medical Journal is an authoritative medical journal. This is not click-bait fake news.
The British Medical Journal is an authoritative medical journal. This is not click-bait fake news.
thanks for taking the time to post the primary article, so I can have a look myself at the study design.
yeah, those are some tiny sample sizes for the cyclists, which is possibly why it wasn't published higher.
decent study tho but not really my cup o' tea.

Last edited by acidfast7_2; 04-08-25 at 11:44 AM.
#18
Thread Starter
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Tom Reingold, tom@noglider.com
New York City and High Falls, NY
Blogs: The Experienced Cyclist; noglider's ride blog
“When man invented the bicycle he reached the peak of his attainments.” — Elizabeth West, US author
Please email me rather than PM'ing me. Thanks.
Tom Reingold, tom@noglider.com
New York City and High Falls, NY
Blogs: The Experienced Cyclist; noglider's ride blog
“When man invented the bicycle he reached the peak of his attainments.” — Elizabeth West, US author
Please email me rather than PM'ing me. Thanks.
#19
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My quick 2-min synopsis is that is looks well-constructed and well analysed.
There is an effect of being a cyclist (I didn't look in detail to determin how this was determined) but the number of cyclists is small.
So small in fact, that I would assume that the cyclists are do other things lifestyle-wise that keep CVD low and overall healthiness high. The authors do NOT dwell on being a cyclist meaning anything ... they keep it observative.
I haven't watched the YT video as I don't go for so much popsci stuff but the title: "Study Finds Biking to Work HALVES Risk of Early Death."
Um, well, I doubt the authors would write that.
Maybe they'd say "behaviours that include being an active cyclist, reduced early mortality (death.)" They wouldn't stress any causation like the YT video. I would assume that nearly all cyclists are outliers in several lifestyle behaviours.
That's why I don't like these kinds of studies myself, but can understand the value when not over-inflated.
There is an effect of being a cyclist (I didn't look in detail to determin how this was determined) but the number of cyclists is small.
So small in fact, that I would assume that the cyclists are do other things lifestyle-wise that keep CVD low and overall healthiness high. The authors do NOT dwell on being a cyclist meaning anything ... they keep it observative.
I haven't watched the YT video as I don't go for so much popsci stuff but the title: "Study Finds Biking to Work HALVES Risk of Early Death."
Um, well, I doubt the authors would write that.
Maybe they'd say "behaviours that include being an active cyclist, reduced early mortality (death.)" They wouldn't stress any causation like the YT video. I would assume that nearly all cyclists are outliers in several lifestyle behaviours.
That's why I don't like these kinds of studies myself, but can understand the value when not over-inflated.
#21
The sample size 1300 cyclists (and 69,000 non cyclists) is not that small. If you look at all-cause mortality, you can see that entire 95% confidence interval lies well to the left of the control group median. There is a ~5% chance that the protective effect is anything less than 25%.
With a larger sample of cyclists, the exact amount of protection may vary by a few percentage point and the confidence interval would be narrower, but the overall protective effect of cycling, is clearly demonstrated here.
With a larger sample of cyclists, the exact amount of protection may vary by a few percentage point and the confidence interval would be narrower, but the overall protective effect of cycling, is clearly demonstrated here.
Last edited by icemilkcoffee; 04-08-25 at 02:50 PM.
#22
Broken neck Ken


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In my tiny sample of myself and my four brothers, I observe one cyclist and four non cyclists who also
- regularly eat on junk food
- regularly drink soft drinks
- are 50+ lbs overweight
- never walk further than the mailbox
We may all have similar genetic predisposition for certain diseases, but I'm betting they have higher liklihood of early morbidity, and it's not just due to cycling. If I couldn't ride starting tomorrow, I'm still not living like that.
- regularly eat on junk food
- regularly drink soft drinks
- are 50+ lbs overweight
- never walk further than the mailbox
We may all have similar genetic predisposition for certain diseases, but I'm betting they have higher liklihood of early morbidity, and it's not just due to cycling. If I couldn't ride starting tomorrow, I'm still not living like that.
#23
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I also assume that unhealthy people and people prone to known unhealthy habits like smoking, hard drug use and excessive drinking do not normally become active cyclists; or remain active cyclists for long.
Perhaps someone who has delved into this study has more info on the "active cyclist" sample and if it included cyclists who were not recreational or club cyclists, but rather people who are actively cycling because they no longer have the financial means to get around any other way, i.e people down on their luck, homeless and/or had their license revoked due to alcohol or drug abuse.
#24
They did manage to find one of the most unhealthy populations on the planet, so maybe riding instead of eating more fried mars bars could over-exaggerate the differences (to use the Edward Abbey expression).
#25
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sure, the overall sample size of cyclists is large (10^3+) but the number of events leading to mean conclusion of the YouTube video is small (38 cyclists vs 3620 non-active). Hence the very large error bars.
CVD and cancer mortality are very low in terms of absolute events (11 and 15 events vs. 800 and 1000+) hence the huge error bars.
It seems well conducted but I'd still argue small sample size of a small population.
Glaswegians are made of different stuff than the rest of us
, so I wouldn't relate this to the North American population.
CVD and cancer mortality are very low in terms of absolute events (11 and 15 events vs. 800 and 1000+) hence the huge error bars.
It seems well conducted but I'd still argue small sample size of a small population.
Glaswegians are made of different stuff than the rest of us
, so I wouldn't relate this to the North American population.




