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Will Electric Bikes Overtake Standard Bike Sales?

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Old 11-09-18, 01:12 PM
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Originally Posted by dabac
Why would it?
We've had cars capable of twice the legal limit available to pretty much anyone for ages. They've contributed or enabled the death of I don't know how many people. No one seems to be getting around to stopping them.
Yes, and there are multiple expensive barriers to entry for owning/driving a car (beyond the cost of the car itself).
1. mandatory operators license
2. mandatory proof of financial responsibility for incurred damages (insurance)
3. mandatory registration of vehicle to centralized database (license plate)

E-bikes currently require none of this. And that will change when there are enough accidents and injuries involving them.
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Old 11-09-18, 01:31 PM
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Originally Posted by Kapusta
I am pretty sure that "substitute" and "replace" are essentially synonymous in the context I was using the term "replace", because I specified it was for certain uses.

But you are correct in your understanding of my point.
My point is I believe that relatively few people in North America will replace their currently owned 4 wheel motorized vehicle with a bicycle or e-bike. There may be a larger number, size unknown, that might in the future decide to use an ebike, as you have, as a substitute for their 4 wheel motor vehicle for some short local trips and errands, especially in daylight good weather. More likely, people will use ebikes as a substitute for public transportation, also especially, and probably only in good weather.

Last edited by I-Like-To-Bike; 11-09-18 at 01:38 PM.
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Old 11-09-18, 01:43 PM
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Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
My point is I believe that relatively few people in North America will replace their currently owned 4 wheel motorized vehicle with a bicycle or e-bike. There may be a larger number, size unknown, that might in the future decide to use an ebike, as you have, as a substitute for their 4 wheel motor vehicle for some short local trips and errands, especially in daylight good weather. More likely, people will use ebikes as a substitute for public transportation, also especially, and probably only in good weather.
I would agree with that.
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Old 11-09-18, 01:48 PM
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Originally Posted by dabac
+1

I'm with you there.

Apart from the DIY monstrosities I see on the streets on a weekly basis, I have a couple of colleagues contemplating off-the-charts-illegal builds in the 2-3kW/50 mph range that they plan to ride among cyclists.
And I cringe when I see what they are planning to base their builds on, basically whatever they can drag out from under the patio, back of the garden shed etc.
1" steerers, stamped-metal caliper brakes. "Suspension" forks whose usefulness actually inceased when they rusted solid.
Any attempt at ever so delicately raise any concerns about their plans is met with a complete lack of understanding and the comment: "relax, it's only electric" - as if impact energy would care about what energy it was that made things move.
Of course you happen to have multiple colleagues that are currently building ebike death traps out of spare old garden equipment.
And of course you are seeing such ebikes out on the road weekly
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Old 11-09-18, 03:23 PM
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Originally Posted by MikeyMK
There are some stuck-up bigots on here. I've quickly learnt to work around them, they won't change.

What someone interprets as a bicycle or not does not matter. The law matters. Most E-bikes are legally in the same category and status, as a bicycle. The bikes are specifically engineered to fit the legal criteria.

That is all.

Yes, but laws can be wrong, and laws can be changed. The trend I'm concerned with is that the powered bikes are getting bigger and heavier, so putting them in the same category as bicycles is getting more and more problematic.

And you should probably be told that stating "x is the law" to a mostly American readership is perhaps not the best idea because there are 50+ very different jurisdictions over here with laws that differ significantly, and that doesn't even include the thousands of localities with their own ordinances. I'm pretty comfortable assuming you haven't systematically gone through all of those before telling us what the law is.
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Old 11-09-18, 05:15 PM
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This article was in the local news today: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toront...2018-1.4897300
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Old 11-09-18, 05:51 PM
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Very cool. I'm a believer, crossing my fingers and hope that it sticks.

GM plans to introduce its first e-bikes next year...

Maybe they can capitalize on the value of the successful GMC Denali brand of bikes.
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Old 11-09-18, 05:56 PM
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Here's an idea. Have e-biking be a stage of the Tour de France. How it works is, each rider is given an identical battery, fully charged. They have to figure out the best strategy for using the available energy in the battery, along with providing their own muscle power if they want, to reach the finish.
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Old 11-09-18, 06:34 PM
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Originally Posted by Gresp15C
Here's an idea. Have e-biking be a stage of the Tour de France. How it works is, each rider is given an identical battery, fully charged. They have to figure out the best strategy for using the available energy in the battery, along with providing their own muscle power if they want, to reach the finish.
Is it really that hard for people to grasp that there is a WIDE variety of uses for bikes, from strictly utilitarian to strictly competitive, and that just because eassist makes a lot of sense for some doesn't mean they have to exist on them all?

I mean, I think driving assist and stability and emission features are excellent for street cars, I don't really think TCS and catalytic converters belong in NASCAR.
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Old 11-09-18, 07:07 PM
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Originally Posted by jefnvk
Is it really that hard for people to grasp that there is a WIDE variety of uses for bikes, from strictly utilitarian to strictly competitive, and that just because eassist makes a lot of sense for some doesn't mean they have to exist on them all?

I mean, I think driving assist and stability and emission features are excellent for street cars, I don't really think TCS and catalytic converters belong in NASCAR.
The thing is, those two don't coexist in the same environment. The difference clearly distinguished each one and relocate them their respective proper environments. Assist bike will encroach onto non assist bike's territory and may eventually dominate it. That's my only concern.
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Old 11-09-18, 07:13 PM
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No, I ride a bike for exercise if I want something motorized I'm buying a Ducati or BMW, will say when living in Europe it was easier for me to get around the city on the bike than the car.
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Old 11-09-18, 07:27 PM
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Originally Posted by KraneXL
The thing is, those two don't coexist in the same environment. The difference clearly distinguished each one and relocate them their respective proper environments. Assist bike will encroach onto non assist bike's territory and may eventually dominate it. That's my only concern.
My biggest worry is that I won't be able to get things like tires that are appropriate for conventional bikes. I can still buy parts that fit frames made 30+ years ago.
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Old 11-09-18, 07:29 PM
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Originally Posted by Gresp15C
Here's an idea. Have e-biking be a stage of the Tour de France. How it works is, each rider is given an identical battery, fully charged. They have to figure out the best strategy for using the available energy in the battery, along with providing their own muscle power if they want, to reach the finish.
I am trying to think of a sport less interesting to watch than an ebike race.....

.... nope, I got nothing.
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Old 11-09-18, 07:35 PM
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Originally Posted by Kapusta


I am trying to think of a sport less interesting to watch than an ebike race.....

.... nope, I got nothing.

Look at it this way, once the riders have drained their batteries, then it's mano a mano, just like conventional bike racing, but on big ungainly bikes.
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Old 11-09-18, 08:27 PM
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Originally Posted by wolfchild
This article was in the local news today: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toront...2018-1.4897300
I'm glad to see it's becoming a big phenomenon, because from my perspective, e-bikes are a stepping stone into motorcycles, and I love to see more people on two wheels regardless of the propulsion system.
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Old 11-09-18, 09:01 PM
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I ride for the exercise .
That said, if I could ride farther , faster & still get a good workout, There’s possibly an ebike in my future .

If auto companies get into them, more & more
improvements to come.

I’ll let them evolve a few more years,
get lighter & longer range. Some new models

see how they get regulated &
how the Feds,
States & cities embrace them on MUPs/ in Parks/
& other Non-motorized restricted
areas(They are “Clean Air” compliant)
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Old 11-10-18, 12:01 PM
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Hi all....

It's been me than 14 years I never rode a bicycle because I had a gasoline bike here in India but the introduction of ecycles made me an interest to look into it both for economical purpose and also for health Since gasoline is getting costlier here because of government's policies here , I thought I could save some money by using ebike occasionally.

If it was not ebike, I don't think I would ride a bicycle again because of being adapted to high speed gasoline bikes
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Old 11-10-18, 01:39 PM
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Originally Posted by Gresp15C
Look at it this way, once the riders have drained their batteries, then it's mano a mano, just like conventional bike racing, but on big ungainly bikes.
Right

It will be slow motorized race, until the batteries run out, and then a slow bicycle race.
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Old 11-10-18, 01:58 PM
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Originally Posted by Kapusta
Right

It will be slow motorized race, until the batteries run out, and then a slow bicycle race.
Aw, you spoiled it for everybody.
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Old 11-10-18, 02:02 PM
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Originally Posted by LanghamP
We say "eBikes" but there are really two classes that behave and look quite different from each other.

Class 1: pedal only with assist up to 20 mph. I have two of these, the Vanmoof and the Faraday, both quite similar to each other. While they do weigh 40 or so pounds, they handle much better than regular 20 pound bicycles because they aren't devoted to being ultra-light.

Class 3: pedal and throttle up to 30 mph (easily). I have one of these, with the motor attached to the crank, and honestly I think these are basically motorcycles with pedals. While mine can be turned into a Class 1 with on-the-go settings, I think they are somewhat inappropriate for bicycle paths as the temptation to speed on them is overwhelming.
In the future, my bike will be called a Class 0 e-bike, with assist up to 0 mph.

Bikes with dyno-hubs for lighting will be called Class -1 e-bikes.
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Old 11-10-18, 02:10 PM
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Originally Posted by Gresp15C
Aw, you spoiled it for everybody.
Maybe they could skip the motorized part, and just race on dead eBikes.
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Old 11-10-18, 04:22 PM
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Maybe some have already raced with an Ebike ???
& no one knows
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Old 11-10-18, 04:44 PM
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Originally Posted by raceboy
e-bikes have nothing whatsoever to do with cycling, notwithstanding all the special pleading that goes on here on bike forums. E-bikes are just another form of motorized transportation.

^this^

people who are avid cyclists are not going to switch as long as they are healthy. The ebikes appeal to a different market: The infirm and wanna-be cyclists/commuters who want out of their cars and traffic but are too lazy/lack the desire to put in the effort of real cycling.
+1
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Old 11-10-18, 06:31 PM
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Originally Posted by KraneXL
Motoring speed is something that's possible to do on the roads, but who will protect the MUP, the bike paths and the trails?
Cops on bicycles maybe ??
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Old 11-12-18, 12:28 PM
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Originally Posted by raceboy
E-bikes have nothing whatsoever to do with cycling, notwithstanding all the special pleading that goes on here on Bike Forums. E-bikes are just another form of motorized transportation.

^This^

People who are avid cyclists are not going to switch as long as they are healthy. The ebikes appeal to a different market: the infirm and wanna-be cyclists/commuters who want out of their cars and traffic but are too lazy/lack the desire to put in the effort of real cycling.
I was an avid cyclist who rode the Hotter n' Hell Hundred, The Rockies and went all the way to Cape Town South Africa to ride the Cape Argus Pik n"Pay with 35,000 riders. I still have my Specialized Roubaix Expert. I bought a Trek SoHo Deluxe years ago to commute to work. After retirement I never rode the Trek. I decided to retrofit a Bafang Mid Drive motor to the Trek. Although it has a throttle, I only use pedal assist. I still can exert the same amount of effort, but I am going a lot faster than I would without the assist. This is so much fun that I rarely use the carbon fiber road bike.
Some people are so ignorant about different choices that they make ridiculous generalizations about people being lazy or not avid cyclists. I am not in-firmed. I play pickelball many days a week.
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