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Road Cycling “It is by riding a bicycle that you learn the contours of a country best, since you have to sweat up the hills and coast down them. Thus you remember them as they actually are, while in a motor car only a high hill impresses you, and you have no such accurate remembrance of country you have driven through as you gain by riding a bicycle.” -- Ernest Hemingway

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Old 11-23-24 | 12:34 PM
  #351  
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Originally Posted by wheelreason
Oh no, I'm actually very sensitive to differences on how bikes behave and feel under me, but that has nothing to do with bikes storing and returning energy via flexing.
As are many people, which tells you why JH's "double blind" test was not at all double blind. Cosmetically disguising bikes does not make it a double blind test. By his own accounting, two of the three riders in the test could tell the difference between the bikes by the way they felt, i.e. they knew which bike they were riding at any given time. If you combine that with the fact that they knew what effect they were testing for, it is not at all surprising that they observed some positive results. (I also wouldn't be surprised if the rider that recorded the remarkable 12% increase in power was JH himself.)

I can't find the post, but I'll paraphrase something written by someone else on this forum in a previous thread:

JH is a brilliant marketer, but his scientific methodology is poop.
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Old 11-23-24 | 02:04 PM
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Originally Posted by tomato coupe
I can't find the post, but I'll paraphrase something written by someone else on this forum in a previous thread:
JH is a brilliant marketer, but his scientific methodology is poop.
At some point we can talk about the test showing the handlebar bag he sells makes you more aero than no handlebar bag at all.
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Old 11-23-24 | 02:10 PM
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Originally Posted by RChung
At some point we can talk about the test showing the handlebar bag he sells makes you more aero than no handlebar bag at all.
In my case, this is entirely plausible.
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Old 11-23-24 | 02:30 PM
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Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
In my case, this is entirely plausible.
Very possibly; but his experimental test was poop.
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Old 11-23-24 | 02:40 PM
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Originally Posted by RChung
Very possibly; but his experimental test was poop.
I was thinking more in terms of my lousy physique and terrible riding posture.
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Old 11-23-24 | 02:48 PM
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Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
I was thinking more in terms of my lousy physique and terrible riding posture.
Sometimes a pre-ride poop will help.
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Old 11-23-24 | 03:38 PM
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thread-kill

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Old 11-23-24 | 04:06 PM
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Originally Posted by Koyote
You have got this precisely backwards.The whole point of scientific testing is to TRY to disprove a hypothesis.
Exactly. At the end of the testing, the best you can actually say is, "I'm not wrong."
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Old 11-23-24 | 04:09 PM
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Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
thread-kill
Hopefully.
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Old 11-23-24 | 04:15 PM
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Originally Posted by RChung
At some point we can talk about the test showing the handlebar bag he sells makes you more aero than no handlebar bag at all.
Are there springs in this bag? Maybe plastic spoons?...I think if we buckle down and canvas folks here, we can find a few with a conjecture-hypothesis thing that makes that plausible...
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Old 11-23-24 | 04:18 PM
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Originally Posted by Kontact
Maybe I'm just repeating myself, but no one is suggesting extra energy, just the ability to express it more ergonomically. Polaris Obark's reference to a the difference between a long bow and a compound bow is a very good one: Moving where forces are applied allows the same archer to go from a 60 pound draw weight to over 100 pound draw weight with the resulting difference in arrow velocity. It wouldn't be taken seriously for a moment among archers that you should be able to produce compound bow results with a traditional bow, Yet they express energy the same way, are drawn the same way and fire the same arrows.


I have had the experience of using a lot of different kinds of sprung sporting gear and have a titanium bike that feels like it leaps up hills while not feeling stiff at all. I think a lot of adamant critics just have no basis in their experience to even begin to imagine how things like this feel and function. So they dismiss it out of hand.
Funny you should say that, because I just watched a video where an archer who routinely shoots warbows with draw weights in the 130-160# range struggles to draw a compound bow with a peak draw weight of 135#, mostly because the peak is early in the draw when it's predominantly the arms and a bit of shoulder doing the work while with the warbows the peak comes at the end of the draw, by which time you've recruited the whole body. He managed a handful of shots with the compound before exhaustion, whereas he could shoot dozens with the warbow.

BUT it was an arrow from the compound that was finally able to penetrate a replica 15th Century breastplate, which they'd never managed with any arrows from even a 160# warbow.
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Old 11-23-24 | 04:18 PM
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Originally Posted by wheelreason
Are there springs in this bag? Maybe plastic spoons?...I think if we buckle down and canvas folks here, we can find a few with a conjecture-hypothesis thing that makes that plausible...
I wish I was as smart as the people that think they can rule something out by posting their denial often enough.
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Old 11-23-24 | 04:19 PM
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Originally Posted by tomato coupe
Hopefully.
We should be so lucky (he said, adding yet another comment to the thread)
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Old 11-23-24 | 04:20 PM
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Originally Posted by RChung
Sometimes a pre-ride poop will help.
It certainly helps one concentrate on the ride, and not how far it is to that park with the restroom, if it's even open.
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Old 11-23-24 | 04:42 PM
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Originally Posted by Kontact
I wish I was as smart as the people that think they can rule something out by posting their denial often enough.
There is no correlation between ruling dumb **** out and number of posts...
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Old 11-23-24 | 04:49 PM
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Originally Posted by genejockey
Funny you should say that, because I just watched a video where an archer who routinely shoots warbows with draw weights in the 130-160# range struggles to draw a compound bow with a peak draw weight of 135#, mostly because the peak is early in the draw when it's predominantly the arms and a bit of shoulder doing the work while with the warbows the peak comes at the end of the draw, by which time you've recruited the whole body. He managed a handful of shots with the compound before exhaustion, whereas he could shoot dozens with the warbow.

BUT it was an arrow from the compound that was finally able to penetrate a replica 15th Century breastplate, which they'd never managed with any arrows from even a 160# warbow.
Fantastic. Have you ever done it yourself? I competed in archery with a 70 lbs recurve and used a compound as well. Experience has value. Compound bows rarely have draw weights much above 80 lbs.

It is not surprising that someone used to an extremely heavy long bow would falter using what is clearly a custom compound built well beyond anything you can buy.
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Old 11-23-24 | 04:50 PM
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Originally Posted by wheelreason
There is no correlation between ruling dumb **** out and number of posts...
Calling stuff you disagree with or don't understand "dumb" is certainly another tried and trued method of expanding human knowledge.

Bravo.
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Old 11-23-24 | 04:54 PM
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Originally Posted by Kontact
Fantastic. Have you ever done it yourself? I competed in archery with a 70 lbs recurve and used a compound as well. Experience has value. Compound bows rarely have draw weights much above 80 lbs.

It is not surprising that someone used to an extremely heavy long bow would falter using what is clearly a custom compound built well beyond anything you can buy.
Yeah, for about a decade I was very into Traditional Archery - so no compounds. I still have a number of longbows and several recurves. I also dabbled in selfbowyery, including making one Yew longbow that draws about 65# or so. Mostly I stuck with 50-55#, though. Never anything in the warbow range!
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Old 11-23-24 | 05:07 PM
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Originally Posted by genejockey
Exactly. At the end of the testing, the best you can actually say is, "I'm not wrong."
"I'm 95% confident that I'm not wrong."

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Old 11-23-24 | 05:15 PM
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Originally Posted by Kontact
Calling stuff you disagree with or don't understand "dumb" is certainly another tried and trued method of expanding human knowledge.

Bravo.
I don't call it dumb because I disagree with it, I call it dumb because it is dumb, and I think you'd be very surprised as to how well I understand it.
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Old 11-23-24 | 05:26 PM
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Originally Posted by wheelreason
Originally Posted by RChung
At some point we can talk about the test showing the handlebar bag he sells makes you more aero than no handlebar bag at all.
Are there springs in this bag? Maybe plastic spoons?...I think if we buckle down and canvas folks here, we can find a few with a conjecture-hypothesis thing that makes that plausible...
First, I see what you did there.

Second, the right bag of the right size and right shape *could* be more aero if it acted like a fairing. That's entirely plausible, it's an interesting idea, and what Jan was claiming: that his handlebar bag had those properties. But it turned out that his experiment was poopy. A friend and I pointed out the error. Jan deleted our comments from his blog post, which is his right. So I don't usually bother reading his blog anymore.
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Old 11-23-24 | 05:30 PM
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Originally Posted by wheelreason
I don't call it dumb because I disagree with it, I call it dumb because it is dumb, and I think you'd be very surprised as to how well I understand it.
I would be surprised that your understanding exceeds your ability to articulate it.
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Old 11-23-24 | 05:42 PM
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Originally Posted by RChung
Very possibly; but his experimental test was poop.

Originally Posted by RChung
First, I see what you did there.

Second, the right bag of the right size and right shape *could* be more aero if it acted like a fairing. That's entirely plausible, it's an interesting idea, and what Jan was claiming: that his handlebar bag had those properties. But it turned out that his experiment was poopy. A friend and I pointed out the error. Jan deleted our comments from his blog post, which is his right. So I don't usually bother reading his blog anymore.
I initially didn't out you as author of the paraphrased quote (post #351), because I wasn't sure if my choice of the pejorative "poop" would sit well with you. But, I guess you're probably okay with it ...
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Old 11-23-24 | 05:47 PM
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Originally Posted by RChung
Second, the right bag of the right size and right shape *could* be more aero if it acted like a fairing. That's entirely plausible, it's an interesting idea, and what Jan was claiming: that his handlebar bag had those properties. But it turned out that his experiment was poopy. A friend and I pointed out the error. Jan deleted our comments from his blog post, which is his right. So I don't usually bother reading his blog anymore.
Again, a rather un-sciency thing to do.

Whenever anyone (including one or two people in this thread) says of Heine, "But he's got a PhD!", let's remember that (1) he doesn't share his data, (2) he deletes critiques, and (3) even a lousy scientist can spot the glaring methodological problems in the things he calls "experiments."

None of this means that the whole "planing" is idea incorrect, per se...But to the extent that people take such ideas seriously because Heine seems all scientifical, well, those folks are kind of being hoodwinked.
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Old 11-23-24 | 06:15 PM
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Ok... Ok... Everyone take a pause.
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