Go Back  Bike Forums > Bike Forums > Commuting
Reload this Page >

Polar vortex

Search
Notices
Commuting Bicycle commuting is easier than you think, before you know it, you'll be hooked. Learn the tips, hints, equipment, safety requirements for safely riding your bike to work.

Polar vortex

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 11-11-14, 02:04 PM
  #176  
Senior Member
 
alan s's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 6,977
Mentioned: 16 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1496 Post(s)
Liked 189 Times in 128 Posts
Originally Posted by tjspiel
What constitutes "real" science vs "junk" science?
Experimentation and proof by scientists vs. theory and debate by scientists
alan s is offline  
Old 11-11-14, 02:18 PM
  #177  
Senior Member
 
wphamilton's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Alpharetta, GA
Posts: 15,280

Bikes: Nashbar Road

Mentioned: 71 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2934 Post(s)
Liked 341 Times in 228 Posts
Originally Posted by alan s
Really? What is "climate change," over what period of time is it measured and how is it measured? Assuming you have the answers, who says your answers are correct? You? It's junk science, at best.
Climate change in this context anyway are the changes in regional climates, observed from statistics of weather patterns, generally speaking from the mid-1900's when we're talking about effects of fossil fuels.

It's real science, but as far as I can tell any political expression regarding climate change, from any political direction becomes "junk science".

That makes it easy to spot. Any political opinion, expressed anywhere in the discussion, means that everything surrounding it is "junk science".
wphamilton is offline  
Old 11-11-14, 02:36 PM
  #178  
Senior Member
 
tjspiel's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Minneapolis
Posts: 8,101
Mentioned: 6 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 52 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 17 Times in 13 Posts
Originally Posted by alan s
Experimentation and proof by scientists vs. theory and debate by scientists
So the theory of relativity was junk science?
tjspiel is offline  
Old 11-11-14, 02:43 PM
  #179  
Senior Member
 
alan s's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 6,977
Mentioned: 16 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1496 Post(s)
Liked 189 Times in 128 Posts
Originally Posted by tjspiel
So the theory of relativity was junk science?
With nothing more, I suppose it would have been. However, I think the theory has been proven correct by experimentation and proof.

You can read all about it here. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Junk_science

Last edited by alan s; 11-11-14 at 02:52 PM.
alan s is offline  
Old 11-11-14, 02:47 PM
  #180  
incazzare.
 
lostarchitect's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Catskills/Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 6,970

Bikes: See sig

Mentioned: 18 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 40 Post(s)
Liked 55 Times in 38 Posts
Originally Posted by alan s
With nothing more, I suppose it would have been. However, I think the theory has been proven correct by experimentation and proof.

This misunderstanding about "proof" is why it's so difficult to get scientific concepts across to the public, and why it's so easy for politicians and propagandists to say, "It's just a theory," or, "It's not really proven."

Scientific consensus - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

"The inherent uncertainty in science, where theories are never proven but can only be disproven (see falsifiability), poses a problem for politicians, policymakers, lawyers, and business professionals. Where scientific or philosophical questions can often languish in uncertainty for decades within their disciplinary settings, policymakers are faced with the problems of making sound decisions based on the currently available data, even if it is likely not a final form of the "truth". The tricky part is discerning what is close enough to "final truth"."
__________________
1964 JRJ (Bob Jackson), 1973 Wes Mason, 1974 Raleigh Gran Sport, 1986 Schwinn High Sierra, 2000ish Colian (Colin Laing), 2011 Dick Chafe, 2013 Velo Orange Pass Hunter

Last edited by lostarchitect; 11-11-14 at 02:52 PM.
lostarchitect is offline  
Old 11-11-14, 03:03 PM
  #181  
bill nyecycles
 
the sci guy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Houston TX
Posts: 3,328
Mentioned: 19 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 789 Post(s)
Liked 350 Times in 190 Posts
Originally Posted by alan s
So if you knew in a million years an asteroid would hit the earth and destroy all human life, would you advocate spending huge amounts of money to address the problem now, or make note of it, study the problem, and kick the can down the road for future generations to solve? I'd vote for kicking the can.

Same goes for fixing or controlling the climate. Except that we don't actually know what, if anything, is happening to the climate, what the cause is, and what, if anything, can be done about it. It takes a long time to determine what is happening and for any problem to manifest itself. Go ahead and study it, debate it and think up plans to address it, but don't waste money going overboard, and don't chastise others for questioning the alleged science behind the outlandish claims of devastation. We all know it's a ploy for more government funding.
Ummm...we do know what is happening to the climate. And we do know what the cause is. And we do know what can be done about it.
It's not a ploy for government funding - it's an attempt to, you know, help the planet and all the species on it.

People like you absolutely frighten me. Not because you don't care, but because you so vehemently choose not to believe things like this, and completely ignore the science and the evidence. And also that you choose the stance of putting it on future generations because "it won't affect me so what do I care?" The thing is, it needs to be solved now before it gets to the point where future generations can't do anything about it.
__________________
Twitter@theSurlyBiker
Instagram @yankee.velo.foxtrot
the sci guy is offline  
Old 11-11-14, 03:10 PM
  #182  
Senior Member
 
tjspiel's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Minneapolis
Posts: 8,101
Mentioned: 6 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 52 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 17 Times in 13 Posts
Originally Posted by alan s
With nothing more, I suppose it would have been. However, I think the theory has been proven correct by experimentation and proof.

You can read all about it here. Junk science - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Loved the "Use as Corporate PR" section

John Stauber and Sheldon Rampton of PR Watch say the concept of junk science has come to be invoked in attempts to dismiss scientific findings that stand in the way of short-term corporate profits. In their book Trust Us, We're Experts (2001), they write that industries have launched multi-million-dollar campaigns to position certain theories as junk science in the popular mind, often failing to employ the scientific method themselves. For example, the tobacco industry has described research demonstrating the harmful effects of smoking and second-hand smoke as junk science, through the vehicle of various astroturf groups.

...
tjspiel is offline  
Old 11-11-14, 03:24 PM
  #183  
Senior Member
 
alan s's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 6,977
Mentioned: 16 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1496 Post(s)
Liked 189 Times in 128 Posts
I'd say give this climate change thing a couple hundred more years and see whether it's true. Right now, I have to get ready to face the polar vortex caused by global warming. 68 F with a gentle southerly breeze. No complaints here.
alan s is offline  
Old 11-11-14, 03:26 PM
  #184  
incazzare.
 
lostarchitect's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Catskills/Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 6,970

Bikes: See sig

Mentioned: 18 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 40 Post(s)
Liked 55 Times in 38 Posts
Originally Posted by alan s
I'd say give this climate change thing a couple hundred more years and see whether it's true. Right now, I have to get ready to face the polar vortex caused by global warming. 68 F with a gentle southerly breeze. No complaints here.

Confusing weather with climate is another common issue in understanding climate science.
__________________
1964 JRJ (Bob Jackson), 1973 Wes Mason, 1974 Raleigh Gran Sport, 1986 Schwinn High Sierra, 2000ish Colian (Colin Laing), 2011 Dick Chafe, 2013 Velo Orange Pass Hunter
lostarchitect is offline  
Old 11-11-14, 05:16 PM
  #185  
aka Tom Reingold
 
noglider's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: New York, NY, and High Falls, NY, USA
Posts: 40,509

Bikes: 1962 Rudge Sports, 1971 Raleigh Super Course, 1971 Raleigh Pro Track, 1974 Raleigh International, 1975 Viscount Fixie, 1982 McLean, 1996 Lemond (Ti), 2002 Burley Zydeco tandem

Mentioned: 511 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 7353 Post(s)
Liked 2,480 Times in 1,439 Posts
Sorry to be rude here, but you're being stupid, alan s. As we've said a few times, theories are never proven, by the very definition of the word theory. And theory is the best we have, and it is the best we will ever have. The fact that germs cause certain diseases is called germ theory, and it has never been proven, and it will never be proven, because it can never possibly be proven. There happens to be a preponderance of evidence to support it, but it might one day be disproven with another, more sound theory. I can't imagine what that theory would be. You clearly do not understand the scientific process. The more you say, the more ignorant you appear, and I rarely address people this way. I say it to give you an opportunity to stop speaking so foolishly. This is well beyond a difference of opinion. You are just plain mistaken about how science works. What you know about it is wrong, not an opinion.
__________________
Tom Reingold, tom@noglider.com
New York City and High Falls, NY
Blogs: The Experienced Cyclist; noglider's ride blog

“When man invented the bicycle he reached the peak of his attainments.” — Elizabeth West, US author

Please email me rather than PM'ing me. Thanks.

Last edited by noglider; 11-12-14 at 06:13 PM.
noglider is offline  
Old 11-11-14, 06:52 PM
  #186  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: Canada, PG BC
Posts: 3,849

Bikes: 27 speed ORYX with over 39,000Kms on it and another 14,000KMs with a BionX E-Assist on it

Mentioned: 3 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1024 Post(s)
Liked 57 Times in 49 Posts
My opinion of all this is... Mankind is going to get it's "ass" kicked by "mother earth" for not living sustainably with "mother earth" JMO can't prove it, but that is how things work in the long run...
350htrr is offline  
Old 11-11-14, 07:24 PM
  #187  
Senior Member
 
Motolegs's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: Southern Colorado
Posts: 493

Bikes: General 80's MTB "Icebreaker", Motobecane Grand Jubilee (vintage mint), Trek 1.1, 2014 Motobecane Mirage (steel) Trek 3500 MTB

Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 39 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 0 Times in 0 Posts
It's going to be butt azz cold tomorrow morning. I'll be thoughtfully layering on clothing then carefully (snow too they say) pedaling to work in 5 degree temps.

The climate change theories will be the furthest thing from my mind.
Motolegs is offline  
Old 11-11-14, 09:22 PM
  #188  
contiuniously variable
 
TransitBiker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Location: Southeastern Pennsylvania
Posts: 2,280

Bikes: 2012 Breezer Uptown Infinity, Fuji Varsity

Mentioned: 2 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 6 Post(s)
Liked 8 Times in 6 Posts
Originally Posted by noglider
You're a good man, Andy. Sandy scared the cr*p out of me, and our house sustained the most minor damage. (We lived in Maplewood, NJ at the time.) We only lost a few shingles off the roof. But the destruction around us shook us up. Plus being without power for eight days was no picnic.
My grandparents & my parents taught me that it is anyone's personal responsibility to help others if they can, and if you cannot help them, don't make their struggle worse than it needs to be.

We lost a large tree in an 80 mph gust that was close enough to have crushed into our house, but it instead fell feet away and onto another tree across the yard. That was pretty eye-opening..... no one is immune to nature's wrath. It really is here now, affecting us now, and not some far away place that no one has ever been to that you know. I know people in NJ that had to outright move due to the damage and the power being out. FEMA and Red Cross did such an amazing job finding accommodations for people in NJ. In NY it was a bit less organized. I actually tried to book a room anywhere near NYC so that i could go and volunteer more than the 2 times i did, but everything was either occupied or had been reserved for evacuees. On a more personal note, a gentleman i knew from near atlantic highlands had his house flooded 10 feet underwater. He was a NJ transit engineer, great guy, loved his work, and he died 8 months after the storm.... i'm thinking the stress of having an unlivable house and all that related stuff just eroded his health.

In any case..... i do what i can when i can, and i always will, because that's how i was raised.

- Andy
TransitBiker is offline  
Old 11-18-14, 01:49 PM
  #189  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: Canada, PG BC
Posts: 3,849

Bikes: 27 speed ORYX with over 39,000Kms on it and another 14,000KMs with a BionX E-Assist on it

Mentioned: 3 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1024 Post(s)
Liked 57 Times in 49 Posts
Originally Posted by Mr. Hairy Legs
Polar bears are totally not in decline. Try living in Churchill

Global warming/climate change/whatever you want to call it has been so politicized that it's pretty much impossible to get the straight goods. So I don't bother trying anymore... I just try to live with the least impact to the planet that I am reasonably able to, and I let the cherry-picking alarmists & deniers fight it out whilst my blood pressure remains blissfully low.

I guess that's why I'm not interested in politics... no passion, nor the need to defend any particular position.

I'm hungry.
40% is the estimated number that polar bears have declined by in the last 10 years... News - Study: Beaufort Sea polar bear numbers declined 40 per cent over 10 years - The Weather Network

Last edited by 350htrr; 11-18-14 at 03:02 PM. Reason: spelling
350htrr is offline  
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
stardognine
Winter Cycling
3
01-03-18 10:24 AM
MEversbergII
Commuting
26
02-11-14 09:22 PM
blamester
General Cycling Discussion
9
01-16-12 01:47 PM
slim_77
Great Lakes
30
02-17-10 09:46 AM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.